A game theoretical approach to homothetic robust forward investment performance processes in stochastic factor models

This paper studies an optimal forward investment problem in an incomplete market with model uncertainty, in which the dynamics of the underlying stocks depends on the correlated stochastic factors. The uncertainty stems from the probability measure chosen by an investor to evaluate the performance. We obtain directly the representation of the power robust forward performance process in factor-form by combining the zero-sum stochastic differential game and ergodic BSDE approach. We also establish the connections with the risk-sensitive zero-sum stochastic differential games over an infinite horizon with ergodic payoff criteria, as well as with the classical power robust expected utility for long time horizons.Comment: 27 page

Numerical simulation on the aerodynamic effects of blade icing on small scale Straight-bladed VAWT

AbstractTo invest the effects of blade surface icing on the aerodynamics performance of the straight-bladed vertical-axis wind turbine (SB-VAWT), wind tunnel tests were carried out on a static straight blade using a simple icing wind tunnel. Firstly, the icing situations on blade surface at some kinds of typical attack angle were observed and recorded under different cold water flow fluxes. Then the iced blade airfoils were combined into a SB-VAWT model with two blades. Numerical simulations were carried out on this model, and the static and dynamic torque coefficients of the model with and without icing were computed. Both the static and dynamic torque coefficients were decreased for the icing effects

Stochastic representation for solutions of a system of coupled HJB-Isaacs equations with integral-partial operators

In this paper, we focus on the stochastic representation of a system of coupled Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs (HJB-Isaacs (HJBI), for short) equations which is in fact a system of coupled Isaacs' type integral-partial differential equation. For this, we introduce an associated zero-sum stochastic differential game, where the state process is described by a classical stochastic differential equation (SDE, for short) with jumps, and the cost functional of recursive type is defined by a new type of backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE, for short) with two Poisson random measures, whose wellposedness and a prior estimate as well as the comparison theorem are investigated for the first time. One of the Poisson random measures appearing in the SDE and the BSDE stems from the integral term of the HJBI equations; the other random measure in BSDE is introduced to link the coupling factor of the HJBI equations. We show through an extension of the dynamic programming principle that the lower value function of this game problem is the viscosity solution of the system of our coupled HJBI equations. The uniqueness of the viscosity solution is also obtained in a space of continuous functions satisfying certain growth condition. In addition, also the upper value function of the game is shown to be the solution of the associated system of coupled Issacs' type of integral-partial differential equations. As a byproduct, we obtain the existence of the value for the game problem under the well-known Isaacs' condition.Comment: 37 page

Seamlessly Unifying Attributes and Items: Conversational Recommendation for Cold-Start Users

Static recommendation methods like collaborative filtering suffer from the inherent limitation of performing real-time personalization for cold-start users. Online recommendation, e.g., multi-armed bandit approach, addresses this limitation by interactively exploring user preference online and pursuing the exploration-exploitation (EE) trade-off. However, existing bandit-based methods model recommendation actions homogeneously. Specifically, they only consider the items as the arms, being incapable of handling the item attributes, which naturally provide interpretable information of user's current demands and can effectively filter out undesired items. In this work, we consider the conversational recommendation for cold-start users, where a system can both ask the attributes from and recommend items to a user interactively. This important scenario was studied in a recent work. However, it employs a hand-crafted function to decide when to ask attributes or make recommendations. Such separate modeling of attributes and items makes the effectiveness of the system highly rely on the choice of the hand-crafted function, thus introducing fragility to the system. To address this limitation, we seamlessly unify attributes and items in the same arm space and achieve their EE trade-offs automatically using the framework of Thompson Sampling. Our Conversational Thompson Sampling (ConTS) model holistically solves all questions in conversational recommendation by choosing the arm with the maximal reward to play. Extensive experiments on three benchmark datasets show that ConTS outperforms the state-of-the-art methods Conversational UCB (ConUCB) and Estimation-Action-Reflection model in both metrics of success rate and average number of conversation turns.Comment: TOIS 202